Thursday, 2 November 2017

Week Nov3rd-6th

Analysis-Barnsley stand out as the best value in this league,Nicely clear on ELO`s & in decent form against an opponent,that isn`t.Over a goal superior on Goals expectancy means I have it priced at 4/6(In green),so therefore quotes of around 6/4 are pretty attractive.
Sheff Utd have impressive rankings(In top 10 in 3 categories) against a side that cannot stop conceding & are the 2nd worst team in the last 3 games for ELO points gained.I would have the home side around the 4/7 mark.
QPR should be favs at Forest ,according to my figures but the goals expected pinpoints a very tight game.
Who knows what a change of manager will do for Sunderland but on the data available,they will struggle at Boro although there is enough evidence to suggest they could grab a goal,I would expect over 2.5 goals.

Analysis-Best bet in La Liga looks to be goals at Sociedad,the home side are the 2nd best side on ELO`s over the last 3 games and face an opponent who are 2nd worst over the last 6 but have stopped the rot a little recently.With both sides in for well over 1 goals each and both sides in the bottom two for conceding converted shots on target,it should be a lively game.

Analysis-Genoa v Sampdoria should contain some goals,Total goals is well over 4 & both sides are expected to contribute.
Other games to note,Lazio-Inter-Napoli should all win but are priced accordingly.

Analysis-Other than goals at West Ham and Man City (Priced accordingly),the best value I can see is Newcastle to beat Bournemouth,although I normally like a selection to be in for around 2 goals expected,the home side have enough going for them to warrant a bet.They are superior on every ranking and face a team without a top 10 ranking in any category.

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